‘Labour party should worry’ Polling guru Curtice in warning to Starmer after Lib Dem win

Labour 'should be worrying' about Lib Dem gain says expert

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Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer has been warned the recent gains by the Liberal Democrats should be a concern. Polling expert John Curtice was invited onto Matt Frei’s show on LBC to discuss the repercussions of the Lib Dems gaining the seat of Chesham and Amersham on Thursday. Professor Curtice was clear that the momentum behind the Lib Dems could spell a disaster for Labour’s future chances.

Sir John told Matt Frei on LBC: “The truth is if the Liberal Democrats do revive don’t assume that Boris Johnson is going to necessarily be that fussed.

“Because where are the Liberal Democrats most likely to get any additional voters from? It is frankly among people who voted remain.

“Now some of the remain voters of course, of course, they have still about 20 percent of remain voters who are supporting the Conservatives.

“Fifty percent of them are backing the Labour Party so the truth is the Labour Party who have to worry just as much as the Conservatives.”

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He continued: “Is the person who should be really worried about this not called Boris Johnson but called Keir Starmer?” followed up Mr Frei.

“He does need to be worried,” replied the polling expert.

“If this is followed by a rise in Liberal Democrat support in the polls at Labour’s expense.

“That is the risk that Labour face.”

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If on the other hand this simply proves to be a situation where we discovering that the Liberal Democrats can do considerably well in Conservative-held seats in the south-east of England where Labour don’t have a cats chance in hell.

“Then sir Keir Starmer will be relaxed.

“The question really is whether or not this development, this Liberal Democrat success now reaches much more broadly across the country.

“Then that very niche particular market that the Liberal Democrats currently have their best opportunities in.”

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Sir John added: “Let’s still remind ourselves all that has happened to the Liberal Democrats until last Thursday since 2019 is their share of the vote has gone down from 12 to 13 percent which they managed to rise in 2019.

“All the way back down to the seven percent they were getting in 2015 and 2017.

“This was a party that was in very serious need of some good news.

“The crucial question is whether they can use this by-election and the fact that you and I are talking about, them and lots of other people are talking about them to being to try to repair some of the damage of the last two year.”

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