‘Very real possibility’ Ukraine will be able to capture Crimea

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There is a “very real possibility” that Ukraine will be able to capture Crimea from Russia, according to reports. Vladimir Putin’s recent order for the immediate mobilisation of 300,000 reservists in Ukraine was taken by many commentators and world figures as an admission of failure in his ongoing “special military operation”.

Western officials are now going one step further and suggesting that Russia could lose land to Russia that it held onto long before the beginning of its invasion.

One US figure, quoted in the Telegraph, said Ukraine could “ultimately” recapture Crimea.

Moscow annexed this peninsula in just under a decade ago, in early 2014.

After more than six months of the Kremlin’s “special military operation”, analysts are suggesting that while Ukraine is not yet in the position to take Crimea, this prospect is now more realistic than it was just a year ago.

The US official said: “It is clear that Russia no longer has the ability or willpower to defend key positions.

“If the Ukrainians succeed in their goal of recapturing Kherson, then there is a very real possibility that it will ultimately be able to recapture Crimea.”

Tamila Tasheva, Volodymyr Zelensky’s top representative for Crimea, quoted in the Guardian, also said over the weekend that a Ukrainian capture of the peninsula is now looking more likely.

She marked this period as “moment X”.

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The official added: “Right now everything is happening in a way that it feels inevitable.

“It may not happen tomorrow, but I think it will be much quicker than I thought a year ago.”

Zelensky has himself vowed that Ukraine will recapture its annexed peninsula when it chooses.

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He said Kyiv would do this without consulting other countries.

Former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has, however, warned that the refusal of either Ukraine or the West to recognise Moscow’s control of Crimea poses a “systemic threat” for his country.

He said that any outside attack on the region would prompt a “Judgement Day” response.

The now-Deputy Chairman of the Russian Security Council was quoted as telling World War Two veterans: “If any other state, be it Ukraine or NATO countries, believes that Crimea is not Russian, then this is a systemic threat for us.

“This is a direct and an explicit threat, especially given what had happened to Crimea.

“Crimea returned to Russia.”

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